This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Oklahoma Sooners and Missouri Tigers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic is self-contradictory: it specifies that both an Oklahoma win and a Missouri win resolve to Yes, violating the mutual exclusivity required for a binary market. This makes the market logically unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket is the only platform with coherent resolution logic. Kalshi's market contains a data integrity failure and should not be traded until the platform clarifies whether a Missouri win resolves to No or provides a corrected resolution framework.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary outcome structure: Oklahoma win = "Oklahoma Sooners", Missouri win = "Missouri Tigers". Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic: states both "If Oklahoma wins...resolves to Yes" AND "If Missouri wins...resolves to Yes", creating logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.