TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Ohio Bobcats and Ball State Cardinals scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, including overtime if applicable.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a critical data integrity failure: both possible game outcomes (Ball State win and Ohio win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable and unable to differentiate winners from losers.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects this logical contradiction. The market cannot function as designed. Polymarket provides the only valid resolution framework: winner takes the market, loser loses, with 50-50 split only if game is canceled entirely with no makeup date.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (Ohio Bobcats or Ball State Cardinals) based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. Source: NCAA.com.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory: states both Ball State win and Ohio win resolve to Yes, creating impossibility where both outcomes map to identical resolution. This violates binary market logic and prevents proper settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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