TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Chilean Liga de Primera Division soccer match between O'Higgins FC and CD Universidad Católica scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the match outcome: whether Universidad Católica wins, whether O'Higgins wins, and whether the match ends in a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES both when the match ends in a draw AND when the match is canceled with no make-up game. This conflates two fundamentally different scenarios (actual match outcome vs. non-occurrence). Kalshi's markets do not include explicit cancellation clauses and rely on standard sports market conventions.Hero Tip:
The Polymarket draw market is structurally flawed. A canceled match should not resolve the same as an actual draw. If trading this market, treat the cancellation clause as a hidden tail risk that inflates the draw probability artificially. Kalshi's approach is safer but requires you to confirm cancellation handling directly with the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: (1) Universidad Católica win resolves YES if team wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES if match ends in draw OR if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise; (3) O'Higgins win resolves YES if team wins, NO otherwise. Postponements keep markets open; cancellations with no make-up resolve NO for win markets but YES for draw market. Primary source: ANFP official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Three mutually exclusive outcome markets covering the same match: (1) Universidad Católica win, (2) Tie, (3) O'Higgins win. Each resolves YES only if that specific outcome occurs within 90+stoppage minutes. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided; standard sports market practice implied (cancellation typically voids or delays resolution).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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