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Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto
kalshi
polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto

Volume:
$1,690,027

Nottingham Forest FC

 - Polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 16, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nottingham Forest FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,059,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Porto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$506,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nottingham wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,293
N/A
N/A
$11,557
Settled
No
kalshi

Porto wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,623
N/A
N/A
$10,237
Settled
No
kalshi

Nottingham wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,846
N/A
N/A
$2,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Porto wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,197
N/A
N/A
$3,197
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, April 16, 2026 between Nottingham Forest FC and FC Porto.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers binary win/loss/draw markets, while Kalshi offers goal-margin markets. The platforms measure different settlement dimensions of the same match, creating distinct market structures and payoff profiles.Hero tip: On Polymarket, you are betting on match outcome only (1X2). On Kalshi, you are betting on goal differential thresholds. A Nottingham 2-0 win resolves YES on Polymarket's Nottingham win market but also YES on Kalshi's 1.5+ and 2.5+ goal margin markets. Conversely, a 1-0 Nottingham win resolves YES on Polymarket but NO on Kalshi's 1.5+ threshold. Choose your platform based on whether you want outcome certainty (Polymarket) or margin conviction (Kalshi).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Nottingham Forest win, FC Porto win, or Draw. Each resolves YES or NO based solely on the final 90-minute result. Resolution source is official UEFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match end. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves NO (or YES for draw market).
  • Kalshi: Four goal-margin threshold markets: Nottingham wins by >1.5 goals, Porto wins by >1.5 goals, Porto wins by >2.5 goals, Nottingham wins by >2.5 goals. Each resolves YES only if the specified margin is exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Multiple Kalshi markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if Nottingham wins 3-0, both the 1.5+ and 2.5+ Nottingham markets resolve YES).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.