TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Pittsburgh Panthers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals at 137.5 and 138.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Pittsburgh win and Notre Dame win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi market until platform issues corrective amendment. Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) are safe to trade. All platforms agree on using final score including overtime and applying 50-50 resolution for full cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Five distinct markets with clear binary outcomes: moneyline (Notre Dame or Pittsburgh), two spread markets (-1.5 and -2.5 for Pittsburgh), and two over/under markets (137.5 and 138.5 total). Resolution based on final score including overtime. Postponements hold market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'Kalshi:
Single moneyline market with contradictory resolution logic. States both 'If Pittsburgh wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Notre Dame wins...resolves to Yes', meaning both possible game outcomes map to identical resolution value. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Key Quote: 'If Pittsburgh wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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