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$134.2b

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$130,522,377

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies
kalshi
polymarket

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Volume:
$331,871

Northern Kentucky

 - Kalshi

Northern Kentucky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northern Kentucky

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117,595
N/A
N/A
$62,474
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oakland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,116
N/A
N/A
$119,724
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 159.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 162.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 161.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Northern Kentucky Norse and Oakland Golden Grizzlies scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Oakland. Markets span moneyline, spread (-1.5 and -2.5), and multiple over/under totals (158.5, 159.5, 161.5, 162.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Oakland win and Northern Kentucky win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable and making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is logically incoherent. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket exclusively, which correctly resolves to the actual winner. Spread and total markets are consistent and resolvable across both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Oakland wins, resolve Yes. If Northern Kentucky wins, resolve Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of game outcome, violating basic binary market logic.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to Northern Kentucky Norse if they win, or Oakland Golden Grizzlies if they win. Spread and total markets use consistent thresholds: Oakland -2.5 requires 3+ point win; Oakland -1.5 requires 2+ point win; totals use standard over/under thresholds with final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.