TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Northern Kentucky Norse and Oakland Golden Grizzlies scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Oakland. Markets span moneyline, spread (-1.5 and -2.5), and multiple over/under totals (158.5, 159.5, 161.5, 162.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Oakland win and Northern Kentucky win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable and making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is logically incoherent. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket exclusively, which correctly resolves to the actual winner. Spread and total markets are consistent and resolvable across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: If Oakland wins, resolve Yes. If Northern Kentucky wins, resolve Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of game outcome, violating basic binary market logic.Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly resolves to Northern Kentucky Norse if they win, or Oakland Golden Grizzlies if they win. Spread and total markets use consistent thresholds: Oakland -2.5 requires 3+ point win; Oakland -1.5 requires 2+ point win; totals use standard over/under thresholds with final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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