TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Virginia Cavaliers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Virginia win and North Carolina win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's binary logic is internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative market for this event. Kalshi's market suffers from a critical data integrity failure in its resolution rules and should not be used for settlement or trading decisions until corrected by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary resolution: North Carolina win resolves to North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia win resolves to Virginia Cavaliers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Contradictory logic: States both Virginia win and North Carolina win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Virginia wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If North Carolina wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.