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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)
polymarket
kalshi

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)

Volume:
$43,862

North Carolina

 - Kalshi

North Carolina - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

North Carolina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,883
N/A
N/A
$29,113
Settled
Yes
polymarket

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,931
N/A
N/A
$10,012
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Virginia Cavaliers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Virginia win and North Carolina win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's binary logic is internally consistent.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket as the authoritative market for this event. Kalshi's market suffers from a critical data integrity failure in its resolution rules and should not be used for settlement or trading decisions until corrected by the platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: North Carolina win resolves to North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia win resolves to Virginia Cavaliers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory logic: States both Virginia win and North Carolina win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Virginia wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If North Carolina wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.