TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between Norfolk State Spartans and Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, spread (-1.5), and multiple over/under totals (135.5, 136.5, 137.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Norfolk State wins OR Maryland Eastern Shore wins) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Flag the Kalshi market for immediate clarification. The current resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket markets can be traded with confidence pending game completion. Request Kalshi to clarify whether the market should resolve Yes/No based on game completion status, or if the moneyline outcomes were incorrectly documented.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Norfolk State Spartans or Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks). Spread resolves to Norfolk State Spartans if they win by 2+ points, otherwise Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks. Over/Under markets resolve based on combined score thresholds (137+, 136+, or 138+ depending on line). All markets resolve 50-50 if game canceled with no makeup. Logic is sound and mutually exclusive.Kalshi:
Market states: 'If Maryland-Eastern Shore wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Norfolk St. wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive game outcomes map to identical resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No documented No resolution condition or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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