TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between ZSC Lions and HC Lugano scheduled for March 25, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Lugano win and ZSC Lions win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until corrected. The Polymarket version is the only logically coherent market. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to compliance as the market violates basic binary logic and cannot be fairly resolved.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary winner-take-all structure. ZSC Lions victory resolves to 'ZSC Lions', Lugano victory resolves to 'Lugano'. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves 50-50. Shootout goals are counted as one goal added to winner's score.Kalshi:
Defective binary structure with logical contradiction. Both 'HC Lugano wins' and 'ZSC Lions wins' are stated to resolve to 'Yes', leaving no valid No outcome and making the market unresolvable. This appears to be a market design error rather than intentional ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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