TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between ZSC Lions and HC Lugano scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (ZSC Lions win OR Lugano win) are stated to resolve the market to Yes, which is impossible since exactly one team must win. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The contradiction suggests either a template error or missing context (e.g., the market may actually be on game completion, not winner). Polymarket is the safer reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary winner-take-all structure. ZSC Lions victory resolves to ZSC Lions token, Lugano victory resolves to Lugano token. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. Shootout goals are counted toward final score. Source: nationalleague.ch.Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes resolution: states both ZSC Lions win AND Lugano win each resolve to Yes. Logically impossible since only one team can win. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation mentioned. Creates unresolvable market state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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