TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Switzerland National League (NL) ice hockey match between SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers and EV Zug scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Lakers win and Zug win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable as stated. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi as unresolvable until platform clarification. Use Polymarket as the reference framework: Lakers win resolves to Lakers, Zug win resolves to Zug. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout winners receive +1 goal in scoring.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Dual-Yes resolution structure creates logical impossibility. Both Lakers victory and Zug victory map to Yes outcome, leaving no valid No resolution path for a completed game.Polymarket:
Categorical winner resolution with explicit edge-case handling. Lakers win = Lakers, Zug win = Zug, postponement = market remains open, cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Shootout goals counted as +1 to winner's final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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