TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Swiss National League (NL) ice hockey match between HC Lugano and ZSC Lions scheduled for March 23, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game outcome, including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if EITHER HC Lugano wins OR ZSC Lions wins, meaning the market resolves YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket correctly resolves to the winner's name (Lugano or ZSC Lions), with clear binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution criteria are logically impossible — it resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable. Polymarket is the only reliable market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (in terms of logical validity): Resolves to 'Lugano' if Lugano wins, 'ZSC Lions' if ZSC Lions wins, with clear binary outcomes and sensible edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If Lugano win, the market will resolve to Lugano. If ZSC Lions win, the market will resolve to ZSC Lions.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The resolution criteria state the market resolves YES if HC Lugano wins AND also resolves YES if ZSC Lions wins, meaning YES is the outcome for all possible game results. Quote: 'If HC Lugano wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If ZSC Lions wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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