TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
NK Osijek and NK Varaždin will compete in a Croatian football match scheduled for April 17, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: NK Osijek victory, NK Varaždin victory, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, using official HNL (Croatian Football League) statistics as the primary source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (win, loss, or draw), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, creating a logical contradiction between platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw: all three outcomes (Osijek win, Varazdin win, tie) are listed as YES resolutions, meaning the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES. Avoid Kalshi exposure entirely until this is corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Osijek Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Varazdin Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Resolution source is official HNL statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to YES, others to NO.Kalshi:
Single market with three listed conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Tie wins... then YES', 'If Osijek wins... then YES', 'If Varazdin wins... then YES'. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot fail to resolve YES regardless of outcome, violating basic market coherence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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