TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
NJ/NY Gotham FC and Orlando Pride will compete in a National Women's Soccer League (NWSL) match on March 29, 2026. Three binary outcomes are possible: a draw, an Orlando Pride victory, or a Gotham FC victory. All markets measure only the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Gotham win, Tie, Orlando win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a meaningful binary settlement. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets (Draw, Orlando Win, Gotham Win) that align with standard soccer outcome logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it cannot resolve to NO under any realistic scenario and violates basic prediction market logic. Use Polymarket's three separate markets instead, which properly partition the outcome space. If Kalshi's rules are a drafting error, clarification from Kalshi is required before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market structure is fundamentally broken. All three possible outcomes (Gotham win, Tie, Orlando win) are stated to resolve to YES: 'If Gotham wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes. If Orlando wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market always resolves YES regardless of the actual match result, making it unresolvable as a binary prediction market.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard soccer prediction logic: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets—one for Draw (YES if tie, NO otherwise), one for Orlando Win (YES if Orlando wins, NO otherwise), and one for Gotham Win (YES if Gotham wins, NO otherwise). Each market resolves based on the official NWSL statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with cancellation clauses specified per market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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