TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)

Volume:
$361,574

Merrimack

 - Kalshi

Merrimack - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Merrimack

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,018
N/A
N/A
$48,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Niagara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$299,309
N/A
N/A
$251,150
Settled
No
polymarket

Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Niagara Purple Eagles and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Merrimack win and Niagara win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform issues a correction. The market as currently written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution and should be used for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Niagara win resolves to 'Niagara Purple Eagles', Merrimack win resolves to 'Merrimack College Warriors'. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Defective Yes/No logic: Both 'If Merrimack wins' and 'If Niagara wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. No path to No resolution exists, making the market logically impossible to settle correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.