TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Niagara Purple Eagles and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Merrimack win and Niagara win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform issues a correction. The market as currently written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution and should be used for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary structure: Niagara win resolves to 'Niagara Purple Eagles', Merrimack win resolves to 'Merrimack College Warriors'. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Defective Yes/No logic: Both 'If Merrimack wins' and 'If Niagara wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. No path to No resolution exists, making the market logically impossible to settle correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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