TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: May 3, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on which team wins the 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round series between the Carolina Hurricanes and Ottawa Senators. The winner is determined by the first team to win the required number of games in a best-of-seven series format, as officially declared by the NHL.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is incomplete and creates ambiguity: both outcomes (Senators win OR Hurricanes win) resolve to Yes, which is logically contradictory for a binary market. Polymarket provides clear binary outcomes (Canes vs Senators) with a 50-50 tie-breaker for incomplete series.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, the market logic appears broken—both possible outcomes resolve Yes, making it unresolvable as written. On Polymarket, you have clear binary outcomes with a defined tie-breaker if the series is incomplete by May 31, 2026. Trade on Polymarket for clarity; avoid Kalshi until the logic is corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market states: 'If Ottawa Senators wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Carolina Hurricanes wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. The market is internally incoherent.Polymarket:
Market provides clear binary outcomes: resolves to 'Canes' if Carolina Hurricanes win the series, or 'Senators' if Ottawa Senators win. Includes explicit tie-breaker: 'If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.' Resolution source is official NHL information or credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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