TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
kalshi
polymarket

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

Volume:
$2,590,111

Nikita Kucherov

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 7:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nikita Kucherov

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$391,565
N/A
N/A
$274,470
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nikita Kucherov

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$86,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nathan MacKinnon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$579,070
N/A
N/A
$366,176
Settled
No
polymarket

Nathan MacKinnon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Macklin Celebrini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$421,022
N/A
N/A
$222,374
Settled
No
polymarket

Macklin Celebrini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor McDavid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$317,725
N/A
N/A
$172,129
Settled
No
polymarket

Connor McDavid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Quinton Byfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Logan Stankoven

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tage Thompson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cale Makar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cale Makar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,545
N/A
N/A
$11,545
Settled
No
polymarket

Zach Werenski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jack Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jack Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,876
N/A
N/A
$7,856
Settled
No
polymarket

Leon Draisaitl

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leon Draisaitl

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
polymarket

Andrei Vasilevskiy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrei Vasilevskiy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
polymarket

Nick Suzuki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Suzuki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$885
N/A
N/A
$885
Settled
No
polymarket

Linus Ullmark

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Pastrnak

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

David Pastrnak

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
$1,539
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 169

Intro

This market tracks whether Nikita Kucherov will win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy, awarded annually to the league's most valuable player. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 99.9% probability for Kucherov to claim the award. Resolution will be determined by the Official NHL announcement and Hart Memorial Trophy award ceremony published on nhl.com/awards. Watch for the official Hart Trophy winner announcement around the end of June 2026, which marks the typical timing of NHL awards ceremonies at season's end.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves YES if and only if the named player is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy, with official NHL sources as the primary resolution authority. Exactly one market in the group will resolve YES.Primary resolution logic: Official NHL announcement and Hart Memorial Trophy award ceremony (nhl.com/awards)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if and only if the named player is officially awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy by the NHL.
  • Market resolves NO if the named player does not win the award.
  • If a named player is not announced as a finalist for the Hart Memorial Trophy, that market resolves NO.
  • Exactly ONE market in the group (either a named player or 'Other') will resolve YES; all others resolve NO.
  • Resolution is based on official NHL information, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary source if needed.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official NHL announcement and award of the Hart Memorial Trophy at the end of the 2025–26 regular season.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Connor McDavid wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nathan MacKinnon wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kirill Kaprizov wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon Draisaitl wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nikita Kucherov wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Pastrnak wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Eichel wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Hellebuyck wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Hughes wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cale Makar wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mitch Marner wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quinn Hughes wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikko Rantanen wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Artemi Panarin wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Igor Shesterkin wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Connor wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Tkachuk wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If William Nylander wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrei Vasilevskiy wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brady Tkachuk wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Connor Bedard wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dustin Wolf wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Macklin Celebrini wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Suzuki wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Fox wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Kempe wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Debrincat wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Ovechkin wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Nikishin wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they aggregate decentralized trader belief rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin; prediction markets reflect real-time supply and demand from thousands of independent participants. Hart Trophy markets typically show sharper, more reactive pricing on emerging candidates and late-season performance shifts. Comparing the two reveals whether mainstream sportsbooks are lagging market consensus or pricing in information that decentralized traders have not yet fully incorporated.

Hart Trophy odds shift in response to regular-season performance metrics including goals, assists, plus-minus rating, and team success. Injuries to top candidates or surprise breakout seasons from lower-ranked players trigger sharp repricing. Trade deadline moves, playoff positioning battles, and media narratives about MVP-caliber performances all influence trader sentiment. Late-season scoring streaks, milestone achievements, and team playoff seeding directly impact candidate viability. Monitor individual player statistics, team standings, injury reports, and sports media commentary to anticipate market moves before they occur.