TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the New Orleans Privateers and Lamar Cardinals scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), over/under totals at multiple thresholds (146.5, 147.5), and spread outcomes at various lines (-2.5, -3.5, -4.5, -5.5 favoring Lamar).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market logic is contradictory and unresolvable. It states the market resolves Yes if either team wins, which is a logical tautology that makes the binary outcome meaningless. Polymarket's markets are well-defined and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until clarification is provided. The market as written will always resolve Yes, making it unsuitable for prediction purposes. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals as the authoritative settlement sources.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve based on margin (Lamar by 3+, 4+, 5+, or 6+ depending on line); totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (147 or 148). All include overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.Kalshi:
Market resolves Yes if Lamar wins OR if New Orleans wins. Quote: 'If Lamar wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If New Orleans wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes map to the same resolution, making the market always resolve Yes and fundamentally unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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