TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the New Orleans Privateers and Incarnate Word Cardinals scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and total points over/under at multiple thresholds (153.5, 154.5, 155.5, 156.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (New Orleans win and Incarnate Word win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to differentiate outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. The resolution rules guarantee a Yes outcome regardless of which team wins, eliminating all predictive value. Focus on Polymarket moneyline (which correctly maps each team to a distinct outcome) and all spread/total markets, which maintain coherent logic across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline logic failure: both New Orleans win and Incarnate Word win resolve to Yes. This violates binary market semantics. Key Quote: 'If New Orleans wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Incarnate Word wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (New Orleans Privateers or Incarnate Word Cardinals); full cancellation resolves 50-50. Spread and total markets also resolve 50-50 on full cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the New Orleans Privateers win, the market will resolve to New Orleans Privateers. If the Incarnate Word Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Incarnate Word Cardinals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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