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New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)
polymarket
kalshi

New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)

Volume:
$16,927

New Mexico

 - Kalshi

New Mexico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Mexico

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,828
N/A
N/A
$7,769
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nevada

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,049
N/A
N/A
$9,008
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Nevada win and New Mexico win) are specified to resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. This is a data integrity failure - both win conditions resolve to Yes, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event with proper winner-take-all resolution. Report Kalshi market for immediate correction or cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Proper binary winner-take-all structure. New Mexico Lobos win resolves to New Mexico Lobos, Nevada Wolf Pack win resolves to Nevada Wolf Pack. Includes sensible edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, overtime included in final score. Key Quote: If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos. If the Nevada Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to Nevada Wolf Pack.
  • Kalshi: Critical logical error: both outcomes specified to resolve Yes. If Nevada wins resolves Yes, if New Mexico wins also resolves Yes. This creates an impossible resolution state where the market cannot differentiate between the two teams winning. Key Quote: If Nevada wins...resolves to Yes. If New Mexico wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.