This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the New Haven Chargers and LIU Sharks scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets predict which team will win the matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (LIU win and New Haven win) resolve to the same Yes result, making the market unable to distinguish between winners. Polymarket correctly resolves to the winning team name.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the specification is corrected. The market as written cannot resolve to No under any realistic game outcome. Use Polymarket as the reliable resolution source, which properly maps each team victory to a distinct outcome.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both LIU victory and New Haven victory resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology that fails to differentiate outcomes. Key Quote: If LIU wins the game, market resolves to Yes. If New Haven wins the game, market also resolves to Yes.
Polymarket:
Categorical resolution mapping each team to a distinct outcome string. New Haven victory resolves to New Haven Chargers, LIU victory resolves to LIU Sharks. Includes proper edge case handling for postponement and cancellation. Key Quote: If the New Haven Chargers win, the market will resolve to New Haven Chargers. If the LIU Sharks win, the market will resolve to LIU Sharks.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.