TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the New Hampshire Wildcats and UMBC Retrievers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/Yes structure is logically incoherent and incompatible with Polymarket's ternary winner-selection model. Kalshi's market cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes, making it fundamentally unresolvable as a prediction market.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—both outcomes map to Yes, which violates basic prediction market design. Polymarket's structure is standard and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from their support team immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary framework with logical contradiction. Both New Hampshire win and UMBC win resolve to Yes. This creates a market that cannot differentiate outcomes. Quote: 'If New Hampshire wins...resolves to Yes. If UMBC wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Ternary outcome structure with explicit winner selection and cancellation handling. New Hampshire win resolves to 'New Hampshire Wildcats', UMBC win resolves to 'UMBC Retrievers', cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the New Hampshire Wildcats win, the market will resolve to New Hampshire Wildcats. If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to UMBC Retrievers. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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