TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and UNLV Runnin' Rebels scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5), and total points (Over/Under 150.5 and 151.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market conflates both possible outcomes into a single Yes resolution, whereas Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels). Spread and total markets are logically consistent across both platforms.Hero Tip:
Ignore Kalshi's moneyline market due to logical ambiguity. Use Polymarket's moneyline for directional winner exposure. All spread and total markets (Polymarket -1.5 spread, O/U 150.5, O/U 151.5) follow identical resolution logic: final score including overtime, 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline resolves to Yes for both Nevada win and UNLV win outcomes. This creates a guaranteed Yes resolution regardless of game result, making the market non-directional and unsuitable for standard winner betting.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves categorically to either Nevada Wolf Pack or UNLV Runnin' Rebels based on final score. This is standard sports betting convention and allows directional winner exposure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.