TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and San Jose State Spartans scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-10.5 and -11.5), and total points over/under at three different levels (140.5, 141.5, 142.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Nevada win and San Jose State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the market should resolve Yes only for one team, or if the market specification is erroneous. All Polymarket markets and any correctly-specified spread/total markets on either platform can proceed normally, as they use standard sports betting logic with clear thresholds and mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If San Jose St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Nevada wins... resolves to Yes'. This is logically contradictory and makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: Nevada win resolves to 'Nevada Wolf Pack', San Jose State win resolves to 'San Jose State Spartans'. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory (11+ points for -10.5, 12+ points for -11.5). Total markets resolve based on combined score thresholds (141+, 142+, 143+ respectively). All markets include postponement continuation clause and 50-50 resolution for cancellation with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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