TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Nevada Wolf Pack and San Diego State Aztecs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-8.5 SDSU), and total points (O/U 139.5 and O/U 140.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (San Diego St. wins OR Nevada wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It is logically broken. Trade Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets instead, which all follow standard, coherent resolution logic based on final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If San Diego St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Nevada wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams and is unresolvable.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Nevada Wolf Pack' if Nevada wins, or 'San Diego State Aztecs' if SDSU wins. Spread resolves to SDSU if they win by 9+ points, otherwise Nevada. Totals resolve to Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (140 for O/U 139.5, 141 for O/U 140.5), else Under. All use final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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