TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 22 at 6:00PM ET: If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed resolution criteria across 48 distinct markets with specific thresholds, timing, and contingency rules. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify how the outcome is determined or what constitutes a valid game completion.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are fully resolvable with clear thresholds and contingencies. Kalshi's single market is fundamentally unresolvable as written because it does not specify the resolution source, does not clarify what 'wins' means in the context of a basketball game, and contains no contingency rules for postponement or cancellation. Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution criteria are clarified.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket provides 48 distinct, fully-specified markets covering moneyline, spreads, over/unders, and player props with explicit thresholds, timing windows, contingency rules for postponement/cancellation, and official NBA box score as the resolution source. Example: 'This market will resolve to Kings if the Kings win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Nets.' Polymarket's resolution logic is complete and unambiguous.Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi provides a single market with the statement 'If Brooklyn wins the Brooklyn at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sacramento wins the Brooklyn at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve to Yes, and fails to specify: (1) the resolution source, (2) how the winner is determined, (3) contingency rules for postponement or cancellation, and (4) whether the game must be completed or if a postponement triggers automatic resolution.
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