TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's College Basketball game between Nebraska Cornhuskers and UCLA Bruins scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (UCLA -1.5), and total points (Over/Under 143.5) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Nebraska and UCLA victories resolve to Yes, violating binary market principles. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The spread and total markets on both platforms, plus Polymarket's moneyline, are logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both Nebraska win and UCLA win resolve to Yes. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. Key quote: 'If Nebraska wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If UCLA wins...resolves to Yes'.Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to categorical outcomes: Nebraska Cornhuskers or UCLA Bruins based on game winner. Standard mutually exclusive resolution. Key quote: 'If the Nebraska Cornhuskers win, the market will resolve to Nebraska Cornhuskers. If the UCLA Bruins win, the market will resolve to UCLA Bruins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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