TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Navy Midshipmen and Army Black Knights scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves to Yes for both Navy win and Army win outcomes, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market non-functional as a prediction instrument. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market without clarification from their support team. The resolution logic as stated guarantees a Yes outcome regardless of game result, which violates basic prediction market principles. Polymarket's market is resolvable and follows standard sports betting conventions.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-based resolution. Resolves to 'Navy Midshipmen' if Navy wins, or 'Army Black Knights' if Army wins. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Tautological Yes resolution. States 'If Army wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Navy wins... resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves Yes regardless of which team wins, making it logically incoherent as a predictive market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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