TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Navy Midshipmen and Army Black Knights scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-7.5 and -9.5), and total points over/under at three different lines (137.5, 138.5, and 139.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical tautology where both possible outcomes (Army win or Navy win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent across all derivative markets (moneyline, spreads, totals).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads at -7.5 and -9.5, totals at 137.5/138.5/139.5) are resolvable and use consistent logic. Monitor for game postponement vs. cancellation: postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers 50-50 resolution on all Polymarket markets.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Army wins...then Yes' AND 'If Navy wins...then Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where all outcomes resolve identically to Yes, making the market unresolvable and meaningless.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Navy Midshipmen' if Navy wins or 'Army Black Knights' if Army wins — standard binary outcome. All derivative markets (spreads at -7.5/-9.5, totals at 137.5/138.5/139.5) use consistent thresholds, overtime inclusion, and cancellation logic (50-50 if no makeup game).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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