TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Sports
Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

Volume:
$326,604

O/U 2.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 2.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 6:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$266,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nashville SC (-1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,107
N/A
N/A
$2,098
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nashville wins by over 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
$1,476
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nashville SC (-2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Orlando City SC (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,679
N/A
N/A
$1,379
Settled
No
polymarket

Orlando City SC (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group comprises eight interconnected prediction markets on the March 21, 2026 MLS match between Nashville SC and Orlando City SC (6:15 PM ET). Markets span spread betting (Nashville -1.5/-2.5, Orlando -1.5/-2.5), total goals (Over/Under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both-teams-to-score outcomes. All markets resolve based on the official final score from mlssoccer.com within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with fallback to credible consensus if official stats are unavailable within 2 hours post-match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use identical spread thresholds and resolution logic for the same underlying event, but Kalshi presents its markets as four separate Yes/No contracts while Polymarket frames them as binary outcomes. Both platforms resolve on the official MLS final score from mlssoccer.com within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, making the resolution source and logic aligned despite structural differences in market presentation.Hero tip: Both platforms will resolve identically based on the final score differential and total goals. The divergence is purely structural: Kalshi uses separate Yes/No contracts for each spread/total threshold, while Polymarket uses binary outcome pairs. Traders should expect the same settlement values across both platforms for equivalent bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi: Resolves based on official final score from mlssoccer.com within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Offers binary outcome pairs for spreads (Nashville -1.5, Nashville -2.5, Orlando -1.5, Orlando -2.5) and totals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), plus Both Teams to Score. Primary source is official MLS statistics; secondary source is credible reporting if stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket: Resolves based on official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Offers four separate Yes/No contracts covering identical thresholds: Nashville wins by >1.5 goals (Yes), Nashville wins by >2.5 goals (Yes), Orlando wins by >1.5 goals (Yes), Orlando wins by >2.5 goals (Yes). Uses the same underlying event (Orlando at Nashville, March 21, 2026) and same resolution criteria as Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.