TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Murray State Racers and Valparaiso Beacons scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Valparaiso. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team name. This is a scope and format divergence, not a contradiction on the underlying game result.Hero Tip:
Before trading on Kalshi, confirm whether the market is actually asking 'Will the game be completed?' rather than 'Who will win?' The current wording suggests Kalshi may be a game-completion market, not a winner-prediction market. Polymarket is clearly a standard winner-prediction market. Align your position understanding with each platform's true intent.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both Valparaiso win and Murray State win scenarios resolve to Yes. This suggests the market may be testing game completion rather than predicting a winner. Key Quote: 'If Valparaiso wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Murray St. wins... resolves to Yes'.Polymarket:
Market resolves to the specific winning team name (either 'Murray State Racers' or 'Valparaiso Beacons'). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Murray State Racers win, the market will resolve to "Murray State Racers"'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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