TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
"Mother Mary" Rotten Tomatoes score? Odds & Prediction Markets
Closed: Apr 20, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks the critical reception of the film 'Mother Mary' as measured by its Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score on April 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The Tomatometer is an aggregated critical consensus score ranging from 0-100, representing the percentage of professional critics who gave the film a positive review. Resolution depends on the exact score snapshot at the specified date and time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents a logical contradiction with ten overlapping YES-resolution conditions that collectively resolve to YES for any score above 45, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Polymarket uses a clear threshold-based structure (75, 70, 85, 80) with a defined resolution date and fallback rule, but the two platforms use different snapshot dates (April 20 vs April 27, 2026) and Kalshi's conditions are internally incoherent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market without clarification from the platform. The ten conditions are redundant and contradictory—if the score is above 45, ALL conditions trigger YES simultaneously, which suggests either a data entry error or a fundamentally broken market design. Polymarket's markets are clearer but note the April 20 snapshot date and the April 24 fallback rule: if Rotten Tomatoes data is unavailable by April 24 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves NO.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Four separate binary markets, each asking if Mother Mary will score at least a specific threshold (75, 70, 85, 80) on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer. Resolution snapshot is April 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. If data is unavailable by April 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO. Each market resolves independently based on whether the score meets or exceeds its threshold.Kalshi:
Ten conditions, all structured as 'If score is above X, then YES.' The thresholds are: 90, 60, 65, 50, 45, 70, 85, 80, 75, 55. All conditions reference the same snapshot date (April 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). The logical structure creates a contradiction: any single score above 45 satisfies ALL ten conditions simultaneously, making it impossible to determine which condition (if any) is the actual resolution criterion.
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