TOTAL VOLUME:
$62.1b
24H VOL:
$230,299,833
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,147,874
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,357,275,071
584,048
Markets across
14,467
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,185
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, March 27, 2026 between Montenegro and Andorra.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Montenegro win, Andorra win, draw) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across both platforms on this event. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive (only one winner possible per match), but Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any outcome, making Kalshi's structure fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Clarify with Kalshi before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three separate binary markets where exactly one outcome (Montenegro win, Andorra win, or draw) will occur, and only the corresponding market resolves YES while the others resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Montenegro wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for Andorra and draw markets).Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent markets that each resolve YES if their specific outcome occurs, but the rule structure states all three resolve YES for any outcome (Andorra wins → YES, Montenegro wins → YES, Tie wins → YES), creating a logical impossibility where all three markets cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Key quote: 'If Andorra wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Montenegro wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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