TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Montenegro vs. Andorra
polymarket
kalshi

Montenegro vs. Andorra

Volume:
$380,624

Montenegro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 28, 2026

Closed: Mar 27, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montenegro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90,633
N/A
N/A
$70,914
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montenegro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andorra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120,665
N/A
N/A
$73,627
Settled
No
polymarket

Andorra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,173
N/A
N/A
$17,047
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Montenegro vs. Andorra)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, March 27, 2026 between Montenegro and Andorra.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Montenegro win, Andorra win, draw) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms on this event. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive (only one winner possible per match), but Kalshi's three markets all resolve YES for any outcome, making Kalshi's structure fundamentally unresolvable as stated. Clarify with Kalshi before placing trades.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three separate binary markets where exactly one outcome (Montenegro win, Andorra win, or draw) will occur, and only the corresponding market resolves YES while the others resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Montenegro wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for Andorra and draw markets).
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent markets that each resolve YES if their specific outcome occurs, but the rule structure states all three resolve YES for any outcome (Andorra wins → YES, Montenegro wins → YES, Tie wins → YES), creating a logical impossibility where all three markets cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Key quote: 'If Andorra wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Montenegro wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.