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Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (W)

Volume:
$113,023

Montana

 - Kalshi

Montana - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 7:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,371
N/A
N/A
$32,821
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northern Arizona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,571
N/A
N/A
$55,245
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Montana Grizzlies and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Montana win and Northern Arizona win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a Yes/No format (in which case the logic should specify what resolves to No) or a mislabeled market. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution and should be preferred for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Montana win resolves to Montana Grizzlies, Northern Arizona win resolves to Northern Arizona Lumberjacks. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Defective logic: Both Montana win and Northern Arizona win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. No cancellation or postponement provisions specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.