TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Montana Grizzlies and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Montana win and Northern Arizona win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a Yes/No format (in which case the logic should specify what resolves to No) or a mislabeled market. Polymarket offers clear, unambiguous binary resolution and should be preferred for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary resolution: Montana win resolves to Montana Grizzlies, Northern Arizona win resolves to Northern Arizona Lumberjacks. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Defective logic: Both Montana win and Northern Arizona win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. No cancellation or postponement provisions specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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