TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between AS Monaco and BC Olympiacos Piraeus scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win this single matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic maps both possible outcomes (Monaco win and Olympiacos win) to Yes, creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution. Additionally, Polymarket explicitly addresses postponement and cancellation; Kalshi does not.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until resolution logic is clarified with the platform. The dual-Yes structure suggests a potential market design error. Polymarket is the safer choice due to explicit edge-case handling and standard categorical structure.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both outcomes resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If BC Olympiakos Piraeus wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If AS Monaco wins... resolves to Yes'. No postponement or cancellation rules provided.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution: Monaco resolves to Monaco, Olympiacos resolves to Olympiacos B.C. Quote: 'If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to Monaco. If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to Olympiacos B.C.' Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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