TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 10 at 1:30PM ET: If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to "Monaco". If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable: both 'Monaco wins' and 'Barcelona wins' resolve to YES, making it impossible for the market to have a single outcome. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes (Monaco resolves to 'Monaco', Barcelona resolves to 'Barcelona'), with explicit handling for postponement and cancellation.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's version of this market — its rules contain a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable option, with clear outcome paths for all scenarios including postponement and 50-50 cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Monaco win OR Barcelona win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. The rules state 'If AS Monaco wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If FC Barcelona wins... then the market resolves to Yes', leaving no path to a NO resolution.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Specifies mutually exclusive binary outcomes where Monaco win resolves to 'Monaco' and Barcelona win resolves to 'Barcelona', with explicit edge-case handling: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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