TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$99,401,033

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

Markets across

33,267

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Sports
kalshi
polymarket

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Total volume:
$7,810,329
Volume 24h:
$34,691
91%
Liquidity:
$932,338
0.86%
Open interest:
$2,764,766
0.53%

Los Angeles Dodgers

all

2 markets

Polymarket

43%

Kalshi

41%

consensus

42%

-3%

spread

41-43%

(2pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$50.4k

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

42%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 42% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% APY not meaningful 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

These markets resolve based on which team wins the 2026 Major League Baseball National League Championship Series (NLCS). The NLCS is the final playoff series in the National League, determining which team advances to the World Series. Both platforms cover all 15 NL teams, with Polymarket additionally offering an 'another team' catch-all option for theoretical expansion or edge cases.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve identically: YES if and only if the named National League team wins the 2026 National League Championship Series, with exactly one market resolving YES across the entire group.Primary resolution logic: Official Major League Baseball (MLB) records and announcements regarding the 2026 National League Championship Series winner.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves YES if and only if the named team wins the 2026 National League Championship Series.
  • Market resolves NO if the named team does not win the championship series or is eliminated in the playoffs.
  • Exactly ONE market in the group will resolve YES (corresponding to the actual NL Champion).
  • All other markets in the group will resolve NO.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official MLB announcement of the 2026 National League Championship Series winner, which must occur by November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The 2026 National League Champion is determined through postseason competition. Any team from the National League may win the championship by advancing through the playoff structure and winning the National League Championship Series. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team ultimately claims the National League title and earns the right to compete in the World Series.

Frequently asked questions

The National League Champion dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for contracts predicting which team will win the 2026 Major League Baseball National League Championship. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities, 24-hour trading volume of $18,736, and cumulative liquidity across all related outcomes. Users can monitor how odds shift as the season progresses, injuries occur, and playoff scenarios develop. The interface provides a complete view of market sentiment and trading activity, helping traders and fans understand which teams the prediction market community favors to claim the National League title heading into the 2026 postseason.

On Kalshi, the National League Champion market is priced as binary contracts tied to specific team outcomes, with each contract reflecting the probability that a given team will win the 2026 National League Championship. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent implied probability. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a team is undervalued and sell at higher prices if they think the market has overestimated a team's chances. The market aggregates all buy and sell orders into a real-time price, which shifts continuously as new information emerges and trading volume fluctuates throughout the season and into the postseason.

The National League Champion market on Polymarket resolves on Nov 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by which team wins the 2026 Major League Baseball National League Championship Series and advances to the World Series. The outcome is official once the championship series concludes and the winning team is crowned. Until that date, odds will continue to shift based on regular-season performance, playoff seeding, injuries, trades, and other factors that influence each team's path to the title. Traders can exit positions at any time before resolution by selling their contracts at the prevailing market price.

Several catalysts can shift National League Champion odds on Polymarket before Nov 1, 2026. Key injuries or trades involving star players will immediately reprrice team chances. Regular-season performance and win-loss records influence perceived playoff strength and seeding. Managerial or front-office changes signal organizational direction. Playoff bracket positioning and matchup dynamics become critical as October approaches. Momentum swings—hot or cold stretches—alter trader confidence in contenders. Weather, ballpark factors, and head-to-head records between rivals also influence market pricing. Breaking news about roster depth, bullpen health, or unexpected roster moves can trigger rapid repricing. As the season progresses toward the postseason, each game outcome and injury report becomes a potential market-moving event.