TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Missouri Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Missouri win and an Alabama win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary logic with defined edge cases.Hero Tip:
Do not settle or trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The current wording violates basic binary market principles. Polymarket's market is the only reliably resolvable version at this time.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary outcome: Missouri Tigers win resolves to Missouri Tigers, Alabama Crimson Tide win resolves to Alabama Crimson Tide. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory: states If Missouri wins resolves to Yes AND If Alabama wins resolves to No (implied but not stated). The provided description only mentions Yes for both outcomes, creating an unresolvable state. Key Quote: If Missouri wins...resolves to Yes. If Alabama wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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