TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Missouri State Bears and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory—both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market non-functional for directional betting. Polymarket provides a proper categorical resolution tied to the actual game winner.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market as specified. The logic guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of outcome, which violates basic market design. Polymarket's categorical structure (resolving to team name) is the only viable resolution framework. Escalate Kalshi specification to platform support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both Missouri St. win and Middle Tennessee win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot differentiate between outcomes. Key Quote: Both conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical resolution tied to actual game winner. Missouri State win resolves to 'Missouri State Bears', Middle Tennessee win resolves to 'Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders'. Includes proper edge case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If the Missouri State Bears win, the market will resolve to Missouri State Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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