TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Missouri State Bears and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence: Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for either outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical team-name resolution. Both platforms agree on the underlying game outcome determination but encode results differently.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's resolution format before trading. On Kalshi, any game completion (either team winning) resolves to Yes. On Polymarket, you receive the winning team's name. Both handle postponement identically (market stays open), but Polymarket explicitly addresses cancellation with 50-50 split while Kalshi does not specify.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both Missouri State win and Louisiana Tech win resolve to Yes. No explicit cancellation protocol provided. Key Quote: 'If Missouri St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana Tech wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical structure resolving to winning team name (Missouri State Bears or Louisiana Tech Bulldogs). Explicit cancellation protocol: 50-50 split if game canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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