TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Mar 4, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils and Alcorn State Braves scheduled for March 3, 2026 at approximately 8:00-9:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread, and total points over/under at multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Alcorn St. win OR Mississippi Valley St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket moneyline uses standard binary logic (one winner, one loser).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until clarification is obtained. The market as documented cannot function. All other markets (totals and spread) are logically sound and consistent. Assume final score determination includes all overtime periods across all platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Alcorn St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Mississippi Valley St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger Yes resolution, violating binary market structure.Polymarket:
Moneyline market states: 'If Mississippi Valley State wins, resolve to Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils' AND 'If Alcorn State wins, resolve to Alcorn State Braves'. Standard binary outcome structure with mutually exclusive resolutions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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