TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between Mississippi State Bulldogs and Florida Gators scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (-21.5, -22.5, -23.5), and over/under totals (160.5, 161.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains contradictory resolution logic where both outcomes resolve to Yes, making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard, consistent logic across both platforms.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely due to logical contradiction. Trade Polymarket's moneyline with confidence. Spread and total markets are safe on both platforms and use identical thresholds and resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: If Florida wins, resolve Yes. If Mississippi St. wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary Yes/No market. No explicit resolution for ties or cancellations provided.Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to Mississippi State Bulldogs if they win, or Florida Gators if they win. Spread markets resolve based on point differential thresholds (-21.5, -22.5, -23.5). Total markets resolve Over/Under at 160.5 or 161.5 combined points. All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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