TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators
kalshi
polymarket

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators

Volume:
$710,985

Florida

 - Kalshi

Florida - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$227,302
N/A
N/A
$178,513
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 160.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 161.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mississippi St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450,608
N/A
N/A
$310,880
Settled
No
polymarket

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a college basketball game between Mississippi State Bulldogs and Florida Gators scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (-21.5, -22.5, -23.5), and over/under totals (160.5, 161.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains contradictory resolution logic where both outcomes resolve to Yes, making it fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard, consistent logic across both platforms.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely due to logical contradiction. Trade Polymarket's moneyline with confidence. Spread and total markets are safe on both platforms and use identical thresholds and resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Florida wins, resolve Yes. If Mississippi St. wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary Yes/No market. No explicit resolution for ties or cancellations provided.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to Mississippi State Bulldogs if they win, or Florida Gators if they win. Spread markets resolve based on point differential thresholds (-21.5, -22.5, -23.5). Total markets resolve Over/Under at 160.5 or 161.5 combined points. All include postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.