TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Michigan State Spartans and Wisconsin Badgers scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-1.5, -2.5), and over/under totals at multiple lines (145.5, 146.5, 147.5, 148.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both Wisconsin winning AND Michigan State winning are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets for this event — the resolution logic is broken. Focus exclusively on Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets, which all follow a unified and coherent resolution framework.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline markets state: If Wisconsin wins, resolve Yes. If Michigan State wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same result. No edge-case handling for postponement or cancellation is documented.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to team name (Michigan State Spartans or Wisconsin Badgers). Spreads resolve to team name or opponent based on margin threshold. Totals resolve to Over or Under based on combined score. All markets include: postponement = remain open until completion; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Final score includes overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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