TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Finland and Sweden scheduled for February 13, 2026, during the Winter Olympics Group B round. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses binary Yes resolution for any winner outcome, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the specific winning team. The underlying game outcome is the same, but the market structure and payout logic differ.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's payout model before entering. On Kalshi, you are betting that a winner will be determined (not a tie or cancellation). On Polymarket, you are betting on which specific team wins. These require different trading strategies despite referencing the same game.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure. Resolves Yes if either Sweden or Finland wins the game. Implicitly resolves No only if the game is canceled or ends in a tie (though Olympic hockey uses shootouts to eliminate ties).Polymarket:
Categorical outcome structure. Resolves to 'Finland' if Finland wins, 'Sweden' if Sweden wins, or 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup. Explicitly handles postponement by keeping market open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.