TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Switzerland and Czechia scheduled for February 15, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Switzerland and Czechia winning conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary outcome. Polymarket provides a clear winner-based resolution with explicit cancellation and postponement protocols that Kalshi lacks entirely.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a single-game winner market or a multi-leg tournament format. Polymarket's structure is production-ready; Kalshi's appears to have a critical specification error. If forced to choose, trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Dual-Yes resolution structure: If Switzerland wins, resolves Yes. If Czech Republic wins, also resolves Yes. No specification for cancellation, postponement, or draw scenarios. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market.Polymarket:
Winner-based resolution: Resolves to Switzerland or Czechia depending on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Clear edge case handling with explicit shootout scoring rule.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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