TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, April 17, 2026 between Mazatlán FC and Querétaro FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Mazatlán win, Querétaro win, or tie), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: all three resolution conditions resolve to YES, meaning the market cannot differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Mazatlán win, draw, Querétaro win) are the only reliable instruments for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Market 1 resolves YES only if Mazatlán wins. Market 2 resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw. Market 3 resolves YES only if Querétaro wins. Exactly one will resolve YES. All reference official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours post-match, with cancellation resolving NO (or YES for draw market only).Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Tie wins... then YES', 'If Mazatlan wins... then YES', 'If Queretaro wins... then YES'. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution, rendering the market unable to differentiate between outcomes or provide meaningful price discovery.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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