TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Portland Trail Blazers scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET in Portland. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) resolves YES for ANY outcome (Portland win OR Dallas win), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets (items 3-91) use standard, coherent resolution logic tied to specific outcomes (Mavericks win, Trail Blazers win, point spreads, totals, player props). Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and cannot be settled fairly.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it resolves YES regardless of the game outcome, which violates basic prediction market logic. Trade only on Polymarket's markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Portland wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dallas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it impossible to distinguish between winning and losing positions. No resolution source or tie-breaking rule is provided.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's markets use mutually exclusive outcomes. The moneyline (items 3-5) resolves to 'Mavericks' if Mavericks win or 'Trail Blazers' if Trail Blazers win, with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled with no make-up. Spreads (items 8-9, 22-23), totals (items 6-7, 10-15, 18-19, 80-81, 88-91), and player props (items 24-87) all follow coherent, mutually exclusive resolution rules tied to official NBA box scores.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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