TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the University of Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks and the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Retrievers scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations, and over/under total points wagered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket employ identical resolution logic: final score including overtime determines all outcomes, postponements keep markets open, cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50, and NCAA.com serves as the official source.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA.com official final score and game recordsCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline markets resolve to the team with the higher final score (including overtime)
- Spread markets resolve based on the margin of victory: UMBC Retrievers wins spread if they win by the specified points or more (6.5, 7.5, or 8.5 depending on market); otherwise Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks wins the spread
- Over/Under markets resolve based on combined final points: Over if total is at or above the line (145.5, 146.5, or 147.5 depending on market); Under if below
- If game is postponed, all markets remain open until completion
- If game is canceled with no makeup scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Overtime: All scores including overtime periods count toward final resolution; no special handling
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed; no automatic resolution
- Game Cancellation: If canceled with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 split
- Spread Push: If final margin exactly matches the spread line (e.g., UMBC wins by exactly 7.5), this is not possible in basketball; spreads are set at half-point increments to avoid pushes
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final score is confirmed on NCAA.com following game completion on March 10, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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