TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Maryland Terrapins and Wisconsin Badgers scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET at Wisconsin. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -13.5 and -14.5, and over/under totals at 153.5 and 154.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: final score determination including overtime, postponement handling (remain open), and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). All derivative markets (spreads, totals) use the same underlying game result.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score (ncaa.com)Core resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Maryland Terrapins wins if final score favors Maryland; Wisconsin Badgers wins if final score favors Wisconsin
- Spread -13.5: Wisconsin wins if margin is 14+ points; otherwise Maryland wins
- Spread -14.5: Wisconsin wins if margin is 15+ points; otherwise Maryland wins
- Over/Under 153.5: Over if combined score is 154+; Under if combined score is 153 or less
- Over/Under 154.5: Over if combined score is 155+; Under if combined score is 154 or less
- All resolutions include overtime scoring in final totals
- Postponement: markets remain open until game completion
- Cancellation with no makeup: all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Overtime: All scoring in overtime periods counts toward final score and spread/total calculations
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is played and completed
- Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Spread Boundary: 13.5 spread resolves Wisconsin at 14+ point margin; 14.5 spread resolves Wisconsin at 15+ point margin
- Total Boundary: 153.5 total resolves Over at 154+ combined points; 154.5 total resolves Over at 155+ combined points
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final score is official on NCAA.com following game completion on March 4, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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