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399,592

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Maryland Terrapins vs. Wisconsin Badgers
kalshi
polymarket

Maryland Terrapins vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Volume:
$447,545

Wisconsin

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wisconsin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211,271
N/A
N/A
$175,716
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maryland Terrapins vs. Wisconsin Badgers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maryland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$227,980
N/A
N/A
$195,111
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 153.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Maryland Terrapins and Wisconsin Badgers scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET at Wisconsin. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -13.5 and -14.5, and over/under totals at 153.5 and 154.5 points.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: final score determination including overtime, postponement handling (remain open), and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). All derivative markets (spreads, totals) use the same underlying game result.Primary resolution logic: NCAA official final score (ncaa.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline: Maryland Terrapins wins if final score favors Maryland; Wisconsin Badgers wins if final score favors Wisconsin
  • Spread -13.5: Wisconsin wins if margin is 14+ points; otherwise Maryland wins
  • Spread -14.5: Wisconsin wins if margin is 15+ points; otherwise Maryland wins
  • Over/Under 153.5: Over if combined score is 154+; Under if combined score is 153 or less
  • Over/Under 154.5: Over if combined score is 155+; Under if combined score is 154 or less
  • All resolutions include overtime scoring in final totals
  • Postponement: markets remain open until game completion
  • Cancellation with no makeup: all markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Overtime: All scoring in overtime periods counts toward final score and spread/total calculations
  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is played and completed
  • Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Spread Boundary: 13.5 spread resolves Wisconsin at 14+ point margin; 14.5 spread resolves Wisconsin at 15+ point margin
  • Total Boundary: 153.5 total resolves Over at 154+ combined points; 154.5 total resolves Over at 155+ combined points
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after final score is official on NCAA.com following game completion on March 4, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.