TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Mar 24, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a Women's Basketball game between Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks and Youngstown State Penguins scheduled for March 24 at 6:30 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to the winning team's name.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Maryland Eastern Shore win OR Youngstown State win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where exactly one team resolves as the winner.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution rules state the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, meaning there is no NO outcome possible—this is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version, as it properly resolves to either 'Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks' or 'Youngstown State Penguins' based on the final score.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market resolves YES if Maryland-Eastern Shore wins AND ALSO resolves YES if Youngstown St. wins, creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger YES. This violates basic binary market structure. Key quote: 'If Maryland-Eastern Shore wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Youngstown St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard binary sports resolution: Market resolves to 'Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks' if they win or 'Youngstown State Penguins' if they win, with clear handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks win, the market will resolve to Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks. If the Youngstown State Penguins win, the market will resolve to Youngstown State Penguins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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